{"id":954,"date":"2011-11-02T06:41:43","date_gmt":"2011-11-02T00:41:43","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/?p=954"},"modified":"2011-11-02T06:41:43","modified_gmt":"2011-11-02T00:41:43","slug":"on-paul-gildings-the-great-disruption-with-a-nod-to-eugene-lindens-the-future-in-plain-sight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/2011\/11\/02\/on-paul-gildings-the-great-disruption-with-a-nod-to-eugene-lindens-the-future-in-plain-sight\/","title":{"rendered":"On Paul Gilding&#039;s &quot;The Great Disruption,&quot; With a Nod to Eugene Linden&#039;s &quot;The Future in Plain Sight&quot;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So I&#8217;m a sucker for &#8216;big vision&#8217; books about the future and the myriad problems we face with climate change and resource depletion, and right now I&#8217;m reading Paul Gilding&#8217;s <em>The Great Disruption.<\/em> It manages to be at once peppy and gloomy, which is some kind of accomplishment. I more or less agree with his thesis&#8211;that the entire world is in for a major paradigm shift this century. (Although I would also acknowledge that both 19th and 20th centuries saw such shifts.)<br \/>\nGilding is writing about the usual culprits of Global Warming, economic chaos, and resource depletion, but he waxes a bit rosy on the likelihood of humans overcoming all these problems. I&#8217;m at heart an optimist, but I think we honestly can see some dark clouds of human history on the horizon.<br \/>\nA better book than this is Eugene Linden&#8217;s <em>The Future in Plain Sight<\/em>, published in 1998, which warns of problems ahead without seeming alarmist or sugar-coating the story, either. He essentially predicted The Great Recession a decade before it happened. He calls it The Coming Instability, which is not that frightening, but certainly does have its great risks.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So I&#8217;m a sucker for &#8216;big vision&#8217; books about the future and the myriad problems we face with climate change and resource depletion, and right now I&#8217;m reading Paul Gilding&#8217;s The Great Disruption. It manages to be at once peppy &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/2011\/11\/02\/on-paul-gildings-the-great-disruption-with-a-nod-to-eugene-lindens-the-future-in-plain-sight\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_uf_show_specific_survey":0,"_uf_disable_surveys":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,9,29],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-books","category-climate-change","category-the-west"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=954"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/954\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/williamjcobb.com\/blog\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}